I continue away from Helsingborg-Taxfree in this topic and answering to posts number 10 and 11 from Risberg, my post now here is number 16:
I think the difference between us is that i am generally positive optimistic thinking - and you are generally more pessimistic sceptical thinking - just the difference between a halffull and a halfempty glass of water.
From 2035 the Swedish state will self operate all ferries to Gotland - this is the actually plan.
Maybe there will come new transport-ministers or governments and will change this plan again - but for now this is the plan and also that a change to state-operation is super-stupid in my opinion will does not matter.
So Gotlandsbolaget can close and finish their ferry-business then - or continue on any other ferry-routes - if they have any other routes.
So it was logical to look for other possible routes - new ones as Nynäshamn-Rostock - restart the Birka-cruises - or now to buy etablished routes if there is a chance - as now Copenhagen-Oslo.
The price of around 50 Mio. Euro was a good deal - this amount is only minimal more than the actually value of the both ferries - so they have got a "1000" years old - in Denmark and Norway very known - monopoly-ferry-route between 2 big Metropol-regions nearly for free.
I think we should see Gotlandsbolaget generally a little bit more positive:
- They operate their ferries with much faster speed than nearly all other ferry-companies.
- They have a young fleet, order new-buildings in time and not in last minute or too late after many breakdowns as most other ferry-companies.
- They start new routes, which other ferry-company has started or taken over in the last few years 3 new routes (Nynäshamn-Rostock, Birka-Aland-Gotland, Oslo-Copenhagen) ?
And Nynäshamn-Rostock was closed again because too less freight-customers could be aquired. But what has Color Line, DFDS, Stena, Fjordline etc. done in the same last years in point of new ferry-routes ?
Why they do not try to fill the big white North-Sea-area ferry-route-gap between UK, Norway, Sweden, Germany and Netherlands ? Because all their managers do not have the courage to start any new passenger-ferry-route there.
So this is a normal business-process to test how a business-concept is working in A, B or C. And if it only in B and C works well, then A will be closed again. Similar as their on own costs operated former fast-ferry-route Västervik-Visby.
The managers from Gotlandsbolaget have the courage to try something new in the passenger ferry sector - and we should see that as a positive thing.
Yes - the standard, food etc. to Gotland is "very basic" only - but it is also for ca. 3 hours onboard only - and they are offering there what the tender-process has wanted.
And they operate unsolicited f.ex. the additional night-round-trips in summer on own risk. This year they have started own ferry-buses, also from Oskarshamn to Växjö, which even I consider to be very brave.
So the Swedish state is indeed super-stupid to operate all this self in long-term future - instead of to choose between Gotlandsbolaget, Molslinjen and others the best company as operator.
Until 2035 there will be to Gotland the both 2019 built big fast Ropax plus 1 newbuilt Austal Catamaran Horizon X as 3rd ferry (delivery shall be 2027/28).
So from 2027/2028 they will have 2 big fast Ropax free available (built in 2001) and from 2035 the above named 3 ferries.
But all these ships can have nothing to do with Copenhagen-Oslo. I am sure therefore they will order 2 biggest cruise-ferry-newbuildings. They see the really big passenger-potential on this route.
Just a short compare for the travel-corridor Oslo-Copenhagen:
Example for sunday 4.aug. - one-way - 1 person:
A) 17 flights (SAS, Norwegian, Wideroe, Air Baltic) x 180 seats = 3060 seats --- Tickets costs 45,- - 75,- (+ 1 x 145,-) Euro (without baggage / luggage)
B) 9 Flixbus x 80 seats = 720 seats --- Tickets costs 41,- - 67,- Euro
C) 6 Vybuss x 60 seats = 360 seats --- Tickets costs 41,- - 50,- Euro
D) 4 trains with 1 x 55min-change and 27 (!) stops (IC + Regional train) --- Tickets costs 75,- - 115,- Euro
E) 1 DFDS-ferry - 930 cabins --- Cheapest ticket incl. cheapest cabin costs astronomic high 227,- (3.aug.) and 185,- Euro (4.aug.)
So beside 1000s of cars, motorhomes, caravans, tourist-coaches, motorbikes and trucks driving on the E6 + Öresundslinjen Helsingborg-Helsingör there is a really big passenger-potential daily -
PLUS on top all the possible mini-cruise-people from both sides.
But because of their much too expensive prices DFDS is definitely "not in the market" - absolute no travel-option for the biggest majority of people with normal or small money - not competitive with any other travel-solutions.
Also strange that at the strongest travel-days of the year at the first weekend in aug. (nearly all 500 Mio. Europeans have only then holidays together) still nearly all cabin-categories are possible to book !
Why they hold such super-expensive prices and operate also on strongest travel-days not well booked ???
Sadly this DFDS-route was over all the decades a route for "upper-class-people" only, sailing in style with finest luxury dining onboard, award winning service etc. - but much too expensive for the big majority of people.
Similar as Cunard-cruises f.ex. - the 1% rich people like them - but the 99% others can only book with their money any biggest cheap mass-cruise-ship from Costa, AIDA, MSC, RCCL etc. .
And this can only become better with Gotlandsbolaget in future, if they press down the costs and offer much cheaper prices then much more people would travel with this ferry also.
And also with the speed - DFDS is operating really slowly - dep. in Oslo is 15:00 ! When Gotlandsbolaget would operate with more speed and dep. f.ex. 18:00/19:00 the route would be much more attractive for all customer-groups up to business-traveler using today the flights. Meetings in Copenhagen up to 16:00/16:30 ? Why then take a flight back to Norway, the day is in fact finished. Especially for Singles without family then a night enjoying restaurants, bars and entertainment onboard of a new faster cruise-ferry is much more attractive than arriving at home in Oslo late evening for just only go to bed. But arrival-time must between 8:00 and 9:00 then and dep. time not before circa 18:00/19:00.
So today the Airlines together has (beside the E6) with 17 flights between Oslo and Copenhagen the biggest market-share - but it is really strong competition with ca. 15 daily long-distance-buses from 2 operators which are first choice for all travelers with big baggage, luggage, sports-equipments, music-instruments, bicycles etc. . Not random that the most flights and buses costs between 40,- and 50,- in this 4.aug. example. Sure, on the paper the flights are much faster - but not to forget all the extra-time and extra-costs for traveling to Gardermoen or Torp-Sandefjord and on the other side to/from Kastrup to city-center. So from city-center to city-center including waiting-times, security-checks etc. is not possible much faster than in 4 hours - and the totally costs will be higher than with all buses. Yes - the fastest bus need 8:05 hours - but offers much much more comfort also, glass-roof, foot-rests, sleeping-seats, 4G, working-table etc. and you can book business-class also on upper-deck front for ca. 10,- extra, front-row-seats, 2+1 seats etc. . Modern buses from today has not anymore much to do with old buses from our school-times. And in low-season or with very early booking all these ticket-prices for flights and buses are lower, starting between 20,- and 30,-. Picture shows the upper-deck-Business-class from VyBuss Oslo-Göteborg-Copenhagen: